| Source | Type | Revenue ($M) | Avg Price/MWh | CO₂ Tons | Utilization | Efficiency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas | Non-Renewable | $234.8 | $54.10 | 1,765 | HIGH | |
| Coal | Non-Renewable | $110.6 | $45.14 | 1,945 | MOD | |
| Nuclear | Non-Renewable | $85.6 | $38.47 | 0 | HIGH | |
| Solar | Renewable | $46.1 | $30.13 | 0 | LOW | |
| Wind | Renewable | $31.1 | $26.27 | 0 | MOD | |
| Hydro | Renewable | $14.1 | $22.22 | 6 | MOD |
With 242 outage events, 61% above the 150-event target, grid reliability is the single largest operational risk. The West region leads with 59 events while also generating the highest revenue ($108M), creating a high-value, high-risk concentration that demands immediate investment in predictive maintenance.
Renewable share is stuck at 27.2% across 8 quarters, range-bound, not trending upward. Hitting the 30% target requires only a ~1.2GWh shift, achievable with targeted Southwest solar investment. Q2 is the weakest quarter (21.7%), confirming a need for diversified renewable mix, not a single source dependency.
Coal appears cheap at $45/MWh nominally, but at $50/ton carbon cost (EU ETS proxy) its effective price rises to ~$87/MWh, nearly 2× the cost of Nuclear ($38). This single insight reframes the entire dispatch optimization model and makes the coal-to-renewable transition an economic argument, not just regulatory.
Revenue is nearly equal across all 5 regions ($102–$108M), indicating a well-diversified geographic portfolio. This is a strength, no single region accounts for more than 21% of total revenue. Natural Gas alone contributes $235M (45% of total), making it the dominant source but also a concentration risk if regulations tighten.
Q1 and Q3 are peak demand quarters (3,381 and 3,337 MWh avg) reflecting winter heating and summer cooling loads. Q2 is consistently the lowest demand period. Grid capacity planning should prioritize Q1 and Q3 resilience, particularly in the West and Northeast where both demand and outages are highest.
Three priorities emerge from this data:
1. Implement predictive maintenance in West & Northeast to cut outages by 30%+.
2. Add 1.2GWh Southwest solar to reach the 30% renewable target.
3. Use carbon-adjusted cost model to build a board-level case for accelerated coal retirement.